{"id":158479,"date":"2024-06-17T00:34:47","date_gmt":"2024-06-16T22:34:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.savoirnews.tg\/?p=158479"},"modified":"2024-06-17T00:34:58","modified_gmt":"2024-06-16T22:34:58","slug":"economie-la-croissance-mondiale-se-stabilise-pour-la-premiere-fois-en-trois-ans","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/savoirnewstg-ovh.golive.africa\/?p=158479","title":{"rendered":"Economie\u00a0: La croissance mondiale se stabilise pour la premi\u00e8re fois en trois ans"},"content":{"rendered":"<div style=\"position: absolute; left: -9999px; top: -9999px; width: 1px; height: 1px; overflow: hidden;\"><p><a href=\"https:\/\/celawhat.fr\/\">celawhat<\/a><\/p><\/div><div style=\"position: absolute; left: -9999px; top: -9999px; width: 1px; height: 1px; overflow: hidden;\"><p><a href=\"https:\/\/apiculture-haut-bugey.com\/\">apiculture-haut-bugey.com<\/a><\/p><\/div><div style=\"position: absolute; left: -9999px; top: -9999px; width: 1px; height: 1px; overflow: hidden;\"><p><a href=\"https:\/\/sosenka-kajaki.pl\/\">sosenka-kajaki.pl<\/a><\/p><\/div><div style=\"position: absolute; 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left: -9999px; top: -9999px; width: 1px; height: 1px; overflow: hidden;\"><p><a href=\"https:\/\/wintechgroup-agripiscam.org\/\">wintechgroup<\/a><\/p><\/div><div style=\"position: absolute; left: -9999px; top: -9999px; width: 1px; height: 1px; overflow: hidden;\"><p><a href=\"https:\/\/epices-millesaveurs.fr\/\">epices-millesaveurs<\/a><\/p><\/div><div style=\"position: absolute; left: -9999px; top: -9999px; width: 1px; height: 1px; overflow: hidden;\"><p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.lequipe228.com\/\">lequipe228<\/a><\/p><\/div><div style=\"position: absolute; left: -9999px; top: -9999px; width: 1px; height: 1px; overflow: hidden;\"><p><a href=\"https:\/\/padfa.net\/\">padfa<\/a><\/p><\/div><div style=\"position: absolute; left: -9999px; top: -9999px; width: 1px; height: 1px; overflow: hidden;\"><p><a href=\"https:\/\/osworldcompany.com\/\">osworldcompany<\/a><\/p><\/div><div style=\"position: absolute; left: -9999px; top: -9999px; width: 1px; height: 1px; overflow: hidden;\"><p><a href=\"https:\/\/aspamnews.net\/\">aspamnews<\/a><\/p><\/div><div style=\"position: absolute; left: -9999px; top: -9999px; width: 1px; height: 1px; overflow: hidden;\"><p><a href=\"https:\/\/wintechgroup-agripiscam.org\/\">wintechgroup<\/a><\/p><\/div><div style=\"position: absolute; left: -9999px; top: -9999px; width: 1px; height: 1px; overflow: hidden;\"><p><a href=\"https:\/\/epices-millesaveurs.fr\/\">epices-millesaveurs<\/a><\/p><\/div><div style=\"position: absolute; left: -9999px; top: -9999px; width: 1px; height: 1px; overflow: hidden;\"><p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.lequipe228.com\/\">lequipe228<\/a><\/p><\/div><div style=\"position: absolute; left: -9999px; top: -9999px; width: 1px; height: 1px; overflow: hidden;\"><p><a href=\"https:\/\/padfa.net\/\">padfa<\/a><\/p><\/div><div style=\"position: absolute; left: -9999px; top: -9999px; width: 1px; height: 1px; overflow: hidden;\"><p><a href=\"https:\/\/osworldcompany.com\/\">osworldcompany<\/a><\/p><\/div><div style=\"position: absolute; left: -9999px; top: -9999px; width: 1px; height: 1px; overflow: hidden;\"><p><a href=\"https:\/\/aspamnews.net\/\">aspamnews<\/a><\/p><\/div><div style=\"position: absolute; left: -9999px; top: -9999px; width: 1px; height: 1px; overflow: hidden;\"><p><a href=\"https:\/\/amenagerie.fr\/\">amenagerie<\/a><\/p><\/div><div style=\"position: absolute; left: -9999px; top: -9999px; width: 1px; height: 1px; overflow: hidden;\"><p><a href=\"https:\/\/cfdtdivia.net\/\">cfdtdivia<\/a><\/p><\/div><div style=\"position: absolute; left: -9999px; top: -9999px; width: 1px; height: 1px; overflow: hidden;\"><p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.clicinformatique62.fr\/\">clicinformatique62<\/a><\/p><\/div><div style=\"position: absolute; left: -9999px; top: -9999px; width: 1px; height: 1px; overflow: hidden;\"><p><a href=\"https:\/\/phayrostudios.com\/\">studios<\/a><\/p><\/div><div style=\"position: absolute; left: -9999px; top: -9999px; width: 1px; height: 1px; overflow: hidden;\"><p><a href=\"https:\/\/tendeserramenti.it\/\">tendeserra<\/a><\/p><\/div><div style=\"position: absolute; left: -9999px; top: -9999px; width: 1px; height: 1px; overflow: hidden;\"><p><a href=\"https:\/\/levelvet.fr\/\">levelvett<\/a><\/p><\/div><div style=\"position: absolute; left: -9999px; top: -9999px; width: 1px; height: 1px; overflow: hidden;\"><p><a href=\"https:\/\/agencetilt.org\/\">agencetil<\/a><\/p><\/div><div style=\"position: absolute; left: -9999px; top: -9999px; width: 1px; height: 1px; overflow: hidden;\"><p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.moncredit.info\/\">moncreditinfo<\/a><\/p><\/div><div style=\"position: absolute; left: -9999px; top: -9999px; width: 1px; height: 1px; overflow: hidden;\"><p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.buben-homes.cz\/\">bubenhomes<\/a><\/p><\/div>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">La croissance mondiale devrait se stabiliser en 2024 pour la premi\u00e8re fois depuis trois ans, mais \u00e0 un niveau relativement faible par rapport aux tendances historiques r\u00e9centes, selon la derni\u00e8re \u00e9dition des Perspectives \u00e9conomiques mondiales.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">La croissance mondiale devrait se maintenir \u00e0 2,6% en 2024 avant de remonter l\u00e9g\u00e8rement \u00e0 2,7% en moyenne en 2025-2026, pr\u00e9voit le rapport de la Banque mondiale. Soit un niveau bien en de\u00e7\u00e0 de la moyenne de 3,1% enregistr\u00e9e au cours de la d\u00e9cennie pr\u00e9c\u00e9dant la pand\u00e9mie de COVID-19.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">D\u2019apr\u00e8s ces pr\u00e9visions, dans 60% des \u00e9conomies, qui repr\u00e9sentent ensemble plus de 80% de la population mondiale et du PIB mondial, la croissance sur la p\u00e9riode 2024-2026 sera plus lente qu\u2019au cours de la d\u00e9cennie pr\u00e9-COVID.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Dans l&#8217;ensemble des \u00e9conomies en d\u00e9veloppement, la croissance devrait l\u00e9g\u00e8rement fl\u00e9chir par rapport \u00e0 2023, pour s\u2019\u00e9tablir en moyenne \u00e0 4% en 2024-2025.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Elle devrait s\u2019acc\u00e9l\u00e9rer dans les pays \u00e0 faible revenu, pour atteindre 5% en 2024, contre 3,8% en 2023. Dans 75% d&#8217;entre eux, toutefois, les perspectives de croissance pour 2024 ont \u00e9t\u00e9 revues \u00e0 la baisse par rapport aux pr\u00e9visions \u00e9tablies en janvier. Dans les \u00e9conomies avanc\u00e9es, la croissance devrait rester stable \u00e0 1,5% en 2024 avant de progresser \u00e0 1,7% en 2025.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&#8220;Quatre ans apr\u00e8s les bouleversements provoqu\u00e9s par la pand\u00e9mie, \u00e0 laquelle ont succ\u00e9d\u00e9 conflits, inflation et durcissement mon\u00e9taire, la croissance \u00e9conomique mondiale donne des signes de stabilisation&#8221;, a soulign\u00e9 Indermit Gill, premier vice-pr\u00e9sident et \u00e9conomiste en chef du Groupe de la Banque mondiale.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&#8220;Elle n\u2019a cependant pas retrouv\u00e9 ses niveaux d\u2019avant 2020. Et les pr\u00e9visions \u00e9conomiques sont encore plus pr\u00e9occupantes pour les pays les plus pauvres du monde, qui p\u00e2tissent en outre du lourd fardeau que constitue le service de la dette, de possibilit\u00e9s restreintes sur le plan des \u00e9changes commerciaux et de la survenue d\u2019\u00e9pisodes climatiques co\u00fbteux. Les \u00e9conomies en d\u00e9veloppement devront trouver des moyens d\u2019encourager l\u2019investissement priv\u00e9, de r\u00e9duire la dette publique et d\u2019am\u00e9liorer l\u2019\u00e9ducation, la sant\u00e9 et les infrastructures de base. Les plus pauvres d\u2019entre elles &#8211; en particulier les 75 pays admis \u00e0 b\u00e9n\u00e9ficier des financements concessionnels de l\u2019Association internationale de d\u00e9veloppement &#8211; ne pourront pas y parvenir sans l\u2019aide de la communaut\u00e9 internationale&#8221;, a-t-il pr\u00e9cis\u00e9.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Une \u00e9conomie en d\u00e9veloppement sur quatre devrait rester plus pauvre cette ann\u00e9e qu\u2019elle ne l\u2019\u00e9tait \u00e0 la veille de la pand\u00e9mie en 2019. Et cette proportion est deux fois plus \u00e9lev\u00e9e pour les pays en situation de fragilit\u00e9 et de conflit.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">En outre, l\u2019\u00e9cart de revenu qui les s\u00e9pare des \u00e9conomies avanc\u00e9es devrait se creuser dans pr\u00e8s de la moiti\u00e9 des \u00e9conomies en d\u00e9veloppement au cours de la p\u00e9riode 2020-2024 (soit une proportion au plus haut depuis les ann\u00e9es 1990). Indicateur important du niveau de vie, le revenu par habitant dans les pays en d\u00e9veloppement ne devrait augmenter que de 3% par an en moyenne jusqu\u2019en 2026, soit une croissance bien inf\u00e9rieure au taux de 3,8% enregistr\u00e9 dans la d\u00e9cennie pr\u00e9-COVID.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">L\u2019inflation mondiale devrait refluer \u00e0 3,5% en 2024, puis 2,9% en 2025. Cette baisse est cependant inf\u00e9rieure aux projections \u00e9tablies il y a seulement six mois, ce qui devrait inciter nombre de banques centrales \u00e0 faire preuve de prudence dans l\u2019abaissement des taux directeurs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Les taux d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat mondiaux devraient rester \u00e9lev\u00e9s au regard des tendances r\u00e9centes, pour s\u2019\u00e9tablir autour de 4% sur la p\u00e9riode 2025-2026, soit environ le double des taux moyens enregistr\u00e9s entre 2000 et 2019.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&#8220;Les prix des denr\u00e9es alimentaires et de l\u2019\u00e9nergie se sont tass\u00e9s dans l&#8217;ensemble du monde, mais l\u2019inflation sous-jacente est encore relativement \u00e9lev\u00e9e et pourrait le rester&#8221;, a expliqu\u00e9 Ayhan Kose, \u00e9conomiste en chef adjoint de la Banque mondiale et directeur de la cellule Perspectives.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&#8220;Cela pourrait inciter les banques centrales des principales \u00e9conomies avanc\u00e9es \u00e0 retarder les baisses des taux directeurs. Dans l&#8217;hypoth\u00e8se de taux d&#8217;int\u00e9r\u00eat durablement \u00e9lev\u00e9s, le durcissement des conditions financi\u00e8res mondiales se traduirait par une croissance beaucoup plus faible dans les \u00e9conomies en d\u00e9veloppement&#8221;, a-t-il ajout\u00e9.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Cette \u00e9dition des Perspectives \u00e9conomiques mondiales propose deux chapitres analytiques traitant d\u2019enjeux d\u2019actualit\u00e9. Le premier est consacr\u00e9 au r\u00f4le de l\u2019investissement public pour acc\u00e9l\u00e9rer l\u2019investissement priv\u00e9 et promouvoir la croissance \u00e9conomique.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le rapport note que la croissance de l\u2019investissement public dans les \u00e9conomies en d\u00e9veloppement a diminu\u00e9 de moiti\u00e9 depuis la crise financi\u00e8re mondiale, pour tomber en moyenne \u00e0 5% par an au cours de la derni\u00e8re d\u00e9cennie. Or l\u2019investissement public peut \u00eatre un puissant levier de politique \u00e9conomique. Pour les \u00e9conomies en d\u00e9veloppement disposant d\u2019une confortable marge de man\u0153uvre budg\u00e9taire et d\u2019une tradition d&#8217;efficacit\u00e9 des d\u00e9penses publiques, une hausse de l\u2019investissement public \u00e0 hauteur de 1% du PIB peut augmenter le niveau de production jusqu\u2019\u00e0 1,6% \u00e0 moyen terme.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le deuxi\u00e8me chapitre analytique se penche sur la situation des petits \u00c9tats (moins de 1,5 million d\u2019habitants environ) et examine les raisons de leurs difficult\u00e9s budg\u00e9taires chroniques. Les deux cinqui\u00e8mes des 35 petits \u00c9tats en d\u00e9veloppement sont d\u00e9j\u00e0 surendett\u00e9s ou fortement menac\u00e9s de le devenir, soit une proportion environ deux fois plus \u00e9lev\u00e9e que dans les autres \u00e9conomies en d\u00e9veloppement.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Les petits \u00c9tats ont besoin de r\u00e9formes compl\u00e8tes pour r\u00e9soudre leurs difficult\u00e9s budg\u00e9taires, souligne le rapport. Et de pr\u00e9coniser notamment l\u2019instauration d\u2019une assiette fiscale plus stable et plus s\u00fbre pour mobiliser des recettes, ainsi que l&#8217;am\u00e9lioration de l\u2019efficacit\u00e9 des d\u00e9penses publiques, en particulier dans la sant\u00e9, l\u2019\u00e9ducation et les infrastructures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Les petits \u00c9tats doivent aussi se doter de cadres budg\u00e9taires plus robustes afin de faire face \u00e0 des catastrophes naturelles plus fr\u00e9quentes et plus g\u00e9n\u00e9ralement amortir les chocs. Une action mondiale cibl\u00e9e et coordonn\u00e9e peut \u00e9galement contribuer \u00e0 placer ces pays sur une trajectoire budg\u00e9taire plus viable.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Source&nbsp;: Banque mondiale<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<div class=\"mh-excerpt\"><div style=\"position: absolute; left: -9999px; top: -9999px; width: 1px; height: 1px; overflow: hidden;\">\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/celawhat.fr\/\">celawhat<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div style=\"position: absolute; left: -9999px; top: -9999px; width: 1px; height: 1px; overflow: hidden;\">\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/apiculture-haut-bugey.com\/\">apiculture-haut-bugey.com<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div style=\"position: absolute; left: -9999px; top: -9999px; width: 1px; height: 1px; overflow: hidden;\">\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/sosenka-kajaki.pl\/\">sosenka-kajaki.pl<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div style=\"position: absolute; left: -9999px; top: -9999px; width: 1px; height: 1px; overflow: hidden;\">\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/tiago-deco.fr\/\">tiago-deco.fr<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div style=\"position: absolute; 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